Event-Driven Analysis

FTX Collapses: OTPP Writes Off $95 Million

From the Alts Insider archive — contributor insights from November 2022

Nov 20225 min readAlts Insider

Opening

In November 2022, FTX, one of the world's largest cryptocurrency exchanges, filed for bankruptcy, revealing fraud of staggering scale. On November 9, the company announced insolvency after a five-day liquidity crisis. Ontario Teachers' Pension Plan (OTPP), managing $250 billion in assets, announced a complete write-off of its US$95 million FTX investment—US$75 million from Series B in October 2021 and US$20 million to FTX.US in January 2022. Within six months, two of Canada's largest pension funds—CDPQ and OTPP—had collectively written off roughly $250 million in cryptocurrency investments. The question was no longer whether individual crypto ventures carried risk. It was whether institutional investors had developed adequate frameworks for evaluating emerging asset classes.

What Happened

FTX was founded in 2019 by Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF) and Gary Wang. The company positioned itself as a crypto derivatives exchange. By late 2021, FTX achieved an $18 billion valuation and spent aggressively on brand marketing.

Institutional investors competed to participate. In October 2021, FTX completed a Series B at $18 billion. OTPP invested US$75 million alongside other sophisticated capital. In January 2022, OTPP committed an additional US$20 million to FTX.US.

For OTPP, the investments appeared strategically coherent. The fund had developed a crypto allocation thesis viewing cryptocurrency as an emerging asset class. The allocation represented less than 0.05% of total net assets. The fund partnered with professional cryptocurrency research firms to conduct due diligence. The venture capital nature of the FTX funding rounds suggested multiple layers of due diligence had been applied.

The reality was catastrophically different. FTX's business model concealed massive fraud. The company had created Alameda Research, ostensibly a separate cryptocurrency trading firm. Unknown to investors and regulators, Alameda had continuous access to FTX customer deposits—totaling billions of dollars—which it deployed into risky trades and venture investments. When those trades failed, FTX and Alameda faced a shortfall: Alameda owed FTX money but could not pay.

This unraveled in early November 2022 when Binance's CEO announced selling FTX holdings due to "recent revelations." The news triggered a liquidity crisis. Customers rushed to withdraw funds. Within days, FTX acknowledged insolvency and filed for bankruptcy on November 11, 2022. (United States Bankruptcy Court, District of Delaware, November 11, 2022)

The bankruptcy filings revealed the full extent of fraud. Alameda had borrowed approximately $8 billion in FTX customer funds without disclosure. SBF and senior management had concealed this through falsified balance sheets and misrepresentations to investors. Customer funds—retail cryptocurrency held for trading—had been deployed to cover Alameda's losing trades and venture capital investments.

OTPP announced its write-off on November 18. The fund stated the US$95 million represented a total loss.

Why It Matters

The FTX collapse carries four critical implications for Canadian accredited investors navigating cryptocurrency and emerging asset class investments.

First, fraud can be undetectable through standard due diligence if perpetrators exercise deliberate deception. OTPP likely conducted financial review, management interviews, reference checks, and technology assessment. But standard due diligence does not detect fraud intentionally concealed through falsified financial statements and misrepresentations. SBF had actively obscured the Alameda relationship from investors and created false balance sheets. This is an uncomfortable truth: institutional investors are not protected by process alone when facing determined fraud.

Second, the FTX fraud revealed structural gaps in cryptocurrency exchange regulation. FTX was not regulated as a custodian of customer funds in most jurisdictions. There was no requirement for independent audits of customer deposits. There was no segregation requirement akin to traditional securities exchanges. Canadian regulators had limited direct oversight because FTX operated primarily outside Canadian jurisdiction. This regulatory gap meant OTPP was relying on the integrity of FTX management rather than regulatory safeguards.

Third, the investment represented concentrated exposure to both an emerging asset class and a specific firm's execution. OTPP's US$95 million was a meaningful allocation to a single company in an emerging market. Fraudulent failure cannot be hedged through diversification alone. An investor could have diversified across 10 cryptocurrency exchanges, and if fraud were equally likely in each, the diversification provides no protection.

Fourth, the FTX collapse compounded the credibility damage from Celsius/CDPQ just six months earlier. Within a single year, two of Canada's largest pension funds had collectively written off roughly $250 million in cryptocurrency investments. Both losses were complete and at major institutions. For accredited investors, the pattern raised a harder question: If Canada's largest pension funds—with significant research capacity and external advisors—could incur these losses, what is the realistic probability of successful cryptocurrency investing for other institutional participants?

What to Do

The FTX collapse suggests three practical frameworks for accredited investors approaching cryptocurrency and emerging asset class investments.

Acknowledge the limits of due diligence in detecting deliberate fraud. Standard due diligence is valuable for assessing business risk and operational quality. It is not reliable for detecting determined fraud. If you're making a concentrated investment in a specific company, ensure investment is sized for a fraud scenario. Ask explicitly: Could I afford to lose this entire amount if fraud were discovered? If the answer is no, the position is too large.

Reassess regulatory environment and custody safeguards. For any cryptocurrency investment, understand what regulatory oversight applies and what safeguards protect your capital. Canadian regulators are developing crypto frameworks, but the landscape remains less developed than for traditional securities. Cryptocurrency on exchanges faces custodial risk. Cryptocurrency through regulated custodians (regulated as deposit-takers or trust companies) provides more protection, albeit at higher cost.

Question whether emerging asset class investment is appropriate via single-firm bets. Cryptocurrency may have merit for diversification. Investing in a specific cryptocurrency exchange based on the belief that it will dominate the ecosystem is a concentrated bet. For institutional investors, that concentration is difficult to justify. Diversified cryptocurrency exposure via index funds or as a small fraction of a larger venture capital portfolio may be more appropriate than concentrated bets on specific firms.

Closing

The FTX collapse happened because SBF and his leadership team committed fraud, misappropriated customer funds, and deceived investors. OTPP lost US$95 million because it made a concentrated investment in a company where fraud went undetected. The uncomfortable lesson is that sophisticated due diligence is necessary but insufficient when facing determined fraud. For accredited investors, the appropriate response is not to abandon cryptocurrency investing. It is to right-size those allocations to reflect genuine risks, including fraud risks, in less mature markets.


Alts Insider provides educational content for Canadian accredited investors. This is not investment advice. Always consult qualified professionals before making investment decisions.