Monthly Market Pulse

ALTS INSIDER | May 2021 Market Pulse

Bridging fallout continues, due diligence enters the spotlight, and the boom rolls on.

May 20213 min readAlts Insider

What Moved

The Bridging Finance receivership deepened in May. PwC, as court-appointed receiver, terminated David and Natasha Sharpe from their roles. Early assessments of the loan portfolio revealed significant concentrations in a small number of large borrowers — a private credit due diligence failure that diversified MIC portfolios are designed to avoid (PwC, May 2021).

The Bank of Canada had no scheduled decision in May, holding at 0.25%. Canadian economic data was improving — employment was recovering, GDP growth was tracking above expectations, and the vaccine rollout was accelerating.

Housing remained red-hot. May sales were down slightly from April's record but remained far above historical norms. Prices continued to climb across virtually all markets. The national average price was now up approximately 38% year-over-year (CREA, May 2021).

Canadian PE activity was robust. Several mid-market buyouts and growth equity transactions were announced, and fund managers reported strong fundraising conditions. Institutional allocators were maintaining or increasing their commitments to Canadian alternatives.

What It Means

The Bridging situation was transforming the due diligence conversation across Canadian private credit. Investors, advisors, and exempt market dealers were asking harder questions about fund governance, borrower concentration, independent valuation, and manager transparency.

This was constructive for the industry. The questions that Bridging raised — How concentrated is the loan book? Who does the valuations? What are the governance structures? How does the manager handle conflicts of interest? — were questions that sophisticated investors should always be asking. Bridging made them impossible to ignore.

Importantly, the broader private credit market continued to function well. Default rates across the MIC sector remained low. Distribution payments were regular. Origination volumes were strong. One manager's failure, however significant, did not represent a systemic problem. But it did represent a failure of due diligence — and that lesson applied to every investor evaluating private credit opportunities.

The housing market's continued strength supported the fundamental case for mortgage-backed private credit. Rising prices, high transaction volumes, and strong borrower demand created a favourable lending environment for disciplined managers.

What We're Watching

PwC's ongoing assessment of the Bridging portfolio would continue to reveal the extent of the problems. Recovery estimates for investors would be a key data point.

The June BoC decision and accompanying forecasts would indicate whether the Bank was becoming more hawkish. With the economy recovering faster than expected and inflation beginning to rise, the rate outlook was shifting.

Housing data through the summer would show whether the spring frenzy was moderating or entrenching. Affordability constraints were building, but so far, they hadn't slowed demand.

Closing

May's lesson: markets can function well in aggregate while individual actors fail spectacularly. The private credit sector was healthy. The housing market was booming. And yet the Bridging receivership was a reminder that trust must be verified, not assumed. For investors across the Canadian alternative investments landscape, the takeaway was practical — better due diligence today prevents painful surprises tomorrow.

For the full quarterly analysis, see Q2 2021: When Due Diligence Failed.


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